러시아ㆍ유라시아
연구정보
[경제] Windfall: How Russia managed oil and gas income after invading Ukraine, and how it will have to make do with less
러시아 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - Atlantic Council 발간일 : 2022-11-30 등록일 : 2022-12-25 원문링크
Russia’s economy has demonstrated impressive resilience in the face of Western sanctions, so far. Forecasts of gross domestic product (GDP) downturn have been consistently revised on the upside, and inflation, though high, is lower than in Italy and in line with global trends.
This resilience stands in stark contrast to the consensus in the immediate aftermath of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine that unprecedented Western sanctions would at least give the Kremlin pause. While observers knew the export controls on key technologies and inputs would take time to bite, it was hoped that the financial sanctions and the blocking of the Central Bank’s reserves would be so disruptive that Russia just might reconsider. Many, including this author, fell for this kind of reasoning.
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